In day trading,
“which stocks to buy”
is where people tend to focus.
However, rather than jumping straight into looking for individual stocks, I place significant importance on
“which sector is strong today?”
as well.
For example, on the same day,
semiconductor stocks might be rallying across the board.
Bank stocks might be weak.
Automotive stocks might be flat.
This kind of situation happens.
If you are looking to buy in this state,
rather than forcing yourself to find stocks in sectors that aren’t attracting capital,
it is easier to think by looking for even stronger stocks within the sectors that are being bought by the market
instead.
My basic approach is
Index → Sector → Individual Stock
.
In this article, I will explain how to identify strong sectors for day trading and how to narrow down the stocks to watch from within them.
Live streaming every day at 8:30 AM on YouTube!
“How much can I grow 1 million yen?”
In this episode, I entered a long position on Furukawa Electric and took profit, and entered a short position on SUMCO and took profit. This was a session where I made about 80,000 yen in the morning session. I think the entry and profit-taking timing will be helpful.
I hold a day trading live stream every weekday morning from 8:30 AM.
On YouTube, I hold a day trading live stream every weekday morning from 8:30 AM.
Before the market opens, I check:
-
Nikkei 225 futures
-
US market
-
Exchange rates
-
News and materials
-
Daily charts
-
Quote prices
-
Focus sectors
-
Watchlist stocks
and so on.
And once it hits 9:00 AM,
I check which sectors are actually being bought
.
Is it semiconductors?
Is it banks?
Is it electric wires?
Is it automobiles?
Is it defense?
I look for strong and weak stocks while observing the flow of capital for the day.
If you want to know how I judge ‘where the money is flowing’ in the actual market, please also refer to my morning live stream.
What is a sector?
Simply put, a sector is
a group of companies in similar industries or themes
.
For example,
-
semiconductors
-
banks
-
automobiles
-
trading companies
-
electric wires
-
defense
-
shipping
-
real estate
, and so on.
Strict industry classifications and themes that are collectively recognized in the market are not necessarily the same.
In day trading,
stocks that market participants view as part of the same group
are easier to understand if you keep them in mind.
Why look at sectors?
The reason is
stocks are not always moving on their own
because of that.
For example,
a major buying catalyst emerges for semiconductor-related stocks.
Then,
Company A +5%, Company B +4%, Company C +7%, Company D +3%
and so on,
multiple semiconductor stocks may rise simultaneously.
In this case,
it is not just Company A that is strong,
there is a possibility that capital is flowing into the entire semiconductor group
as a whole.
Rather than just a “strong stock,” look for a “strong stock in a strong sector.”
For example,
Stock A +5%.
Looking at this alone, it seems strong.
However,
if you look at the same sector,
Stock B -2%
Stock C -1%
Stock D -3%
was the case.
In this scenario,
it is possible that only Stock A is being bought due to specific news.
On the other hand,
Stock A +5%
Stock B +4%
Stock C +3%
Stock D +6%
if that is the case,
the entire sector is strong.
When I look for buying opportunities,
Strong Sector × Strong Individual Stock
is the combination I prioritize.
First, look at the Nikkei 225
Before looking at sectors,
I also check the overall market sentiment.
For example,
Nikkei 225 +800 yen.
The entire market is strong.
Among them, semiconductor stocks are particularly strong.
Furthermore, among those semiconductor stocks, Stock A is strong.
In that case,
Strong market sentiment
×
Strong sector
×
Strong individual stock
results in this state.
Read also: About the day trading practice game, membership, and free gifts created by an active trader
There are strong sectors even when market sentiment is weak
Conversely,
The Nikkei 225 is down 500 yen.
The overall market is weak.
However, bank stocks are rising across the board.
This can also happen.
In this case,
it is being bought despite poor market sentiment
is what it means.
This serves as a hint for observing the relative strength of that sector.
How do you find strong sectors?
I do not judge based on just one number, but rather
Look at multiple sources of information.
A representative one is
percentage change from the previous day
.
For example,
Semiconductors
A +5%
B +4%
C +6%
D +3%
Banks
A +0.5%
B -0.2%
C +0.3%
D -0.5%
If so,
at least at that moment, semiconductor stocks have more momentum.
Do not judge based on just one stock
For example,
Semiconductor stock A is +8%.
“Semiconductors are strong today!”
is what you might think.
However,
B -2%
C -3%
D -1%
If so,
it is hard to say that the entire sector is strong.
It is possible that good news has only come out for Company A.
Therefore,
looking at multiple stocks
is important.
Check if they are moving in the same direction
Not just compared to the previous day,
but also whether they are moving in the same direction in real-time
is also something to look at.
For example,
9:15 AM.
Semiconductor A rises.
Semiconductor B rises.
Semiconductor C rises.
Semiconductor D rises.
Multiple stocks hitting new highs at the same time.
In this case,
there is a possibility that buying is entering the entire sector.
“Correlation” is important
For example,
only Stock A surges.
Stock B is flat.
Stock C is falling.
Stock D is also weak.
This may be due to individual factors.
On the other hand,
Stock A rises
↓
Stock B rises
↓
Stock C rises
↓
Stock D rises
and they move one after another.
In this case,
capital inflow into the entire sector
can be identified.
Look at the core stocks of the sector
Even within the same sector,
not all stocks have the same level of importance.
Stocks with particularly high trading volume in that day’s market.
Stocks that are at the center of the news.
Stocks that have a large impact on the index.
Look at these,
stocks that are central to the sector
as well.
If the core stocks are strong,
Capital can also spread to related stocks.
When the leader moves, peripheral stocks may also move
For example,
A major semiconductor stock surges.
After that,
buying also enters other semiconductor stocks.
That is the flow.
It is not just the stock that moved first,
but you can also look at “which stock capital will head to next.”
However,
it does not mean that
“because it is in the same sector, it will definitely rise.”
You must also check the strength of each individual stock.
There are strengths and weaknesses even within a sector
For example,
semiconductor stocks are strong overall.
A +7%B +5%C +3%D +0.5%
If so,
even among the same semiconductors,
the strength of A and D is different.
I do not
buy just anything because a sector is strong
but rather,
I look for the strongest stocks within those sectors.
I also compare them with the Nikkei 225.
For example,
Nikkei 225 +1%.
Semiconductor stock average +4%.
Bank stocks +0.5%.
Automotive stocks +1%.
In this case,
semiconductors are significantly stronger than the overall market.
In other words,
it is a hint that more capital is flowing in than the market average
is a way to think about it.
Narrowing down stocks that are strong compared to the previous day
Once you find a strong sector,
next, within that sector,
look for stocks that are strong compared to the previous day
.
For example,
The entire sector is up 3%.
Stock A +7%
Stock B +5%
Stock C +3%
Stock D +1%
In this case,
Stocks A and B are relatively strong.
In this way,
Market → Sector → Individual Stock
is how you narrow it down.
Using VWAP to Further Assess Strength and Weakness
For example,
Semiconductor stocks are strong overall.
Among them,
Stock A is above VWAP.
Stock B is also above VWAP.
Stock C is below VWAP.
In this case,
Stock C may be weak within the same sector.
I,
check strength and weakness using not only the change from the previous day but also VWAP.
Also looking at the 5-minute chart 25MA
Furthermore,
I also look at the 5-minute chart 25MA.
For example,
Stock A in a strong sector.
Rise
↓
Pullback to 25MA
↓
Rebound
If this happens,
it becomes easier to consider buying on the dip.
Conversely,
even if the sector is strong,
if only Stock A breaks below the 25MA,
and is sold off even when it recovers,
then,
it may be weak as an individual stock.
Check trading volume as well
In strong sectors,
trading volume can increase.
For example,
Stock price rise
+
Trading volume increase.
If this happens,
there is a possibility that capital is actually flowing in.
In particular,
I pay attention to stocks where trading volume is clearly higher than usual.
However,
high volume does not necessarily mean buying.
It is not.
Since there is a possibility that a large amount of selling is occurring at high prices,
I look at it in conjunction with the stock price reaction.
Be wary of individual stocks if the sector collapses
For example,
I bought stock A.
The semiconductor sector as a whole is strong.
However, after that,
major semiconductor stocks fell.
Related stocks also fell one after another.
The entire sector began to collapse.
In this case,
instead of just looking at stock A and thinking,
“It’s still above the VWAP, so it’s fine,”
I consider
the change in the entire sector.
I will also check that.
Sometimes a sector collapses before individual stocks do.
For example,
Stock A is still near its high.
However,
Stock B is falling.
Stock C is falling.
Stock D is falling.
Major stocks are also falling.
In such a case,
Stock A may also fall later.
By looking at the sector,
changes that cannot be seen by individual stocks alone
can sometimes be noticed.
Look at sectors even for short selling.
Sector analysis is not just for buying.
It is also used for short selling.
For example,
The Nikkei Stock Average is weak.
Semiconductor stocks are also falling across the board.
Among them, Stock A is particularly weak.
It is below the VWAP.
It is below the 25-day moving average.
Even if it rebounds, it gets sold off.
In that case,
weak market sentiment × weak sector × weak stock
is the situation.
I consider selling into the rallies of such stocks.
Be cautious about shorting weak stocks in a strong sector.
For example,
Semiconductors are rising across the board.
A +6%, B +5%, C +4%.
However, only D is up 0.5%.
Thinking, ‘D is weak, so I’ll short it.’
is a common thought.
It is certainly weak in relative terms.
However,
if the entire sector continues to rise,
there is a possibility that D will also be pulled up along with it.
Therefore, I
Be cautious when entering against the direction of the sector
.
Confirm the reason why the sector is strong
Also confirm why it is strong.
For example,
, etc.
Understanding the reason provides
material to consider whether that strength is temporary or likely to continue
.
The main players can change between the market open and 10:00 AM
A sector that was strong at 9:00 AM might
It may weaken by 10:00 AM.
For example,
9:00 AM:
Semiconductors are strong.
9:30 AM:
The rise in semiconductors stops.
10:00 AM:
Capital flows into bank stocks.
Like this,
capital movement occurs depending on the time of day
occurs.
Therefore,
it is not enough to just check once in the morning.
Do not judge solely by rankings
When you look at the percentage gainers ranking,
you can easily find strong stocks.
However,
you should not buy just because they are at the top of the ranking.
That is not the case.
What is important is,
why are they rising?
And,
are other stocks in the same sector also rising?
Furthermore,
is it at a buyable position now?
is the question.
Rankings are
used as an entry point to discover stocks
for me.
My process for finding strong sectors
In my case,
I look at it as follows.
1. Check the Nikkei Stock Average
Confirm the direction of the overall market.
↓
2. Find strong sectors
Are multiple stocks being bought at the same time?
↓
3. Look at the core stocks of the sector
Are the major stocks strong?
↓
4. Compare individual stocks by day-over-day change
Which stocks are relatively strong?
↓
⑤ Check VWAP and 25MA
Is it in an entry-ready position?
↓
⑥ Check trading volume
Is capital actually flowing in?
↓
⑦ Wait for a pullback
Do not jump in just because it is strong.
“Finding a strong sector” and “buying immediately” are different things.
This is extremely important.
Semiconductors are strong.
Stock A is up 8%.
Therefore, I will buy.
That is not the case.
The purpose of finding a strong sector is to
narrow down the stocks to monitor
.
From there,
daily chart.
VWAP.
5-minute 25MA.
Volume.
Pullbacks.
I check these, among others,
to consider an entry.
Day trading is about finding “where the money is”
In day trading,
you cannot monitor every single stock.
That is why I
focus on finding where the capital is flowing.
I prioritize this.
Look at the Nikkei 225.
Look at the strong sectors.
Look at the strong stocks within those sectors.
And then,
wait for a favorable buying position.
In other words,
Index
↓
Sector
↓
Individual Stock
↓
Entry Position
is the flow.
Conversely, for short selling, the flow is:
Weak market conditions.
Weak sectors.
Weak stocks.
Wait for a rebound.
That is the process.
Summary
When looking at sectors for day trading,
simply,
“Semiconductors are up today”
is not enough; you must also check:
1. How is the Nikkei 225?
The direction of the overall market.
2. Are multiple related stocks strong?
Is it more than just one stock?
3. Are the major stocks strong?
Check the core stocks of the sector.
4. How is it compared to the previous day?
Is it stronger than the market or industry peers?
5. Is it above the VWAP?
Is buying dominant for the day?
6. How is the 5-minute chart 25MA?
Has the short-term trend broken?
7. Is there volume?
Is capital actually flowing in?
I will check these.
What I want to target is,
not just any “rising stock.”
A stock that belongs to a strong sector within a strong market environment, and is strong itself.
And,
I target those stocks when they pull back.
If you are unsure about stock selection,
before looking for individual stocks one by one,
“Where is the capital flowing today?”
I think starting from this question makes the market much easier to organize.
I host a live day trading stream on YouTube every weekday morning starting at 8:30 AM.
After the market opens, I look not only at the Nikkei 225 but also at multiple groups such as semiconductors, electric wires, and banks to find where capital is gathering that day.
If you want to see “how to judge sector strength in the actual market,” please refer to my morning live streams.
Related Articles
[Day Trading: Watch the Nikkei 225] How to Use Indices to Judge Buying and Selling
Explaining the foundation of the “Index → Sector → Individual Stock” mindset.
[Day Trading: Look at Daily Changes] How to Distinguish Strong and Weak Stocks at the Opening
Explaining how to find relatively strong and weak stocks within the same sector.
[Day Trading: How to Buy the Dip] Explaining the Points to Target in an Upward Trend
Explaining how long to wait before buying after finding a strong stock in a strong sector.
[Day Trading: How to Short Sell] How to Find Weak Stocks and Target Declines
Explaining the mindset of combining weak market conditions, weak sectors, and weak stocks.
*This article does not recommend specific stocks or trading methods, nor does it guarantee profits. Please make investment decisions at your own risk.
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